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Nvidia jumped 8.7% overnight, its biggest one-day gain since April 2025, lifting the Nasdaq 1.6% to 26,541 and the S&P 500 0.7% to 7,730. The chipmaker guided third-quarter revenue to $108 billion, ahead of street estimates. Brent crude eased to around $86 a barrel.
Crude's push into higher territory has revived inflation worry, lifting long-end Treasury yields and cooling rate-cut expectations. Wall Street closed lower, Asia followed, and Indian benchmarks extended a fifth straight session of decline as risk appetite thinned across assets.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting are due Wednesday. Three officials dissented in favour of a rate hike at that meeting. The minutes are the clearest available read on how close the hawkish minority came to prevailing, ahead of Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote later this month.
Gold is trading near record levels while Bitcoin sits close to half its all-time high. Both are commonly described as hedges against currency debasement. Through 2026 so far they have moved in opposite directions, which is the part worth noticing.
Gold climbed above $4,420 Wednesday, near a 10-week high, then eased Thursday on profit-taking. Bitcoin sat near $63,400 with daily, weekly, monthly and yearly trends negative. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed, while July US CPI landed near forecast, cooling September Fed hike bets.
Bitcoin moved to a two-week high near $65,000, days after US payrolls missed and spot gold broke a six-week range to $4,341.69. August ETF net inflows have passed $750 million. The $65,000 area marks the top of Bitcoin's two-month band, tested and lost on 5 August.
US Fed held rates at 3.50-3.75% for a fifth straight meeting in a 9-3 vote. Three members dissented in favour of a 25 bps hike, a rare split. Dow fell around 1.5% into the decision. Futures now price roughly 72% odds of a September hike, up from 55% before the meeting.
US Fed announces its rate decision tonight at 11:30 PM IST. Current range stands at 3.50-3.75%, unchanged since December 2025. Futures markets price roughly 68% odds of a hold and 31% odds of a hike, with July's oil price surge keeping inflation pressure in focus. No dot plot at this meeting.
KOSPI fell 6.07% to 6,690 and Nikkei 225 dropped 1,811 points to 64,611, leading a broad Asian selloff. Taiwan Weighted lost 2.74%, Shanghai slipped 1.64%. Europe closed firm, DAX up 1.34%, FTSE up 0.90%. US ended mixed. GIFT Nifty traded 65 points lower at 23,763 in early Friday session.
Yemen's Houthis claim missile and drone attacks on two Saudi oil tankers, Encelia and Layla, in the Red Sea. US completes a 12th straight night of strikes on Iran. Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed. Crude supply now faces pressure at two chokepoints. Global energy flows in focus.
Wall Street closed mixed. Software weakness pulled the Nasdaq lower while chipmakers gained, a split tape ahead of Alphabet and Tesla earnings. Oil pushed higher on Middle East tension, putting inflation back in the conversation. Big tech results now set the tone for the week.
