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High impact
High impact
War, rate decision surprise, market crash, circuit breaker, major geopolitical escalation, unexpected policy reversal.
The US added 162,000 jobs in August against a consensus of 55,000. Unemployment held at 4.1%. The beat lands a day after Fed Governor Waller signalled comfort with a pause, pushing September hike odds back toward even.
US forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island over the weekend, the first action in a month. Tehran responded with attacks on American allies in the region. Brent for November delivery climbed past $90, up over 3%. WTI moved above $86.
Nvidia jumped 8.7% overnight, its biggest one-day gain since April 2025, lifting the Nasdaq 1.6% to 26,541 and the S&P 500 0.7% to 7,730. The chipmaker guided third-quarter revenue to $108 billion, ahead of street estimates. Brent crude eased to around $86 a barrel.
Tuesday, 25 August, is NSE's monthly expiry and the first monthly expiry under the Closing Auction Session. Continuous cash trading in F&O stocks ends at 3:15 PM. A single equilibrium price discovered around 3:35 PM sets the official close and decides which stock options finish in the money.
The US Treasury will at least double long-dated bond buybacks to $4 billion per operation from September 9. Yields fell on the news, then rebounded Thursday. The dollar weakened. Gold reached about $4,530, Bitcoin rose near 11 percent, Nifty opened near 24,250.
Indian equities opened lower on Wednesday as a global semiconductor sell-off and firmer bond yields pressured risk assets. Asian benchmarks in South Korea and Japan led regional declines, while IT-linked names stayed under pressure and the rupee opened weaker against the dollar.
Crude's push into higher territory has revived inflation worry, lifting long-end Treasury yields and cooling rate-cut expectations. Wall Street closed lower, Asia followed, and Indian benchmarks extended a fifth straight session of decline as risk appetite thinned across assets.
Minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting are due Wednesday. Three officials dissented in favour of a rate hike at that meeting. The minutes are the clearest available read on how close the hawkish minority came to prevailing, ahead of Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote later this month.
Gold is trading near record levels while Bitcoin sits close to half its all-time high. Both are commonly described as hedges against currency debasement. Through 2026 so far they have moved in opposite directions, which is the part worth noticing.
The 60-day US-Iran arrangement signed in June reaches nominal expiry today with talks deadlocked and the Strait of Hormuz still shut. Brent holds near $89 after a 5% weekly gain. Israel and Hezbollah exchanged fire over the weekend. Crude-linked sectors and energy importers stay in focus.
Brent crude held above $88 a barrel after gaining more than 5% last week, with the Strait of Hormuz still closed and Washington signalling further measures on Iran. The IEA forecast the widest global supply deficit in five years. India imports roughly 85% of its crude.
Gold climbed above $4,420 Wednesday, near a 10-week high, then eased Thursday on profit-taking. Bitcoin sat near $63,400 with daily, weekly, monthly and yearly trends negative. The Strait of Hormuz stays closed, while July US CPI landed near forecast, cooling September Fed hike bets.