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The US Federal Reserve kept rates at 3.50 to 3.7% in a divided 9-3 vote, with three officials preferring a 25-bps hike. The dollar index fell around 0.5 percent toward the 100 zone as the hold raised doubts over September support for an increase. Treasury yields also moved lower after the decision.
US Fed held rates at 3.50-3.75% for a fifth straight meeting in a 9-3 vote. Three members dissented in favour of a 25 bps hike, a rare split. Dow fell around 1.5% into the decision. Futures now price roughly 72% odds of a September hike, up from 55% before the meeting.
US Fed announces its rate decision tonight at 11:30 PM IST. Current range stands at 3.50-3.75%, unchanged since December 2025. Futures markets price roughly 68% odds of a hold and 31% odds of a hike, with July's oil price surge keeping inflation pressure in focus. No dot plot at this meeting.
India has crossed nearly 23 crore demat accounts by mid-2026, with new openings running at roughly 25-30 lakh per month through FY26. Yet depository and exchange data indicate only about 1 in 4 accounts trades actively, around 4.5-5 crore, leaving a large base of dormant first-time investors.
Gold has broken below $4,000 per ounce once in 2026, on June 24-26. Spot touched near $3,960, the first trade under that level since November 2025 and about 29% below January's record near $5,597. A firmer dollar and rate expectations accompanied the move before price steadied around $4,000.
Bitcoin has traded below $60,000 in two phases in 2026: a brief dip to $59,940 on February 6, then a deeper June stretch with breaks on June 5 and June 24-29, touching near $58,500. That zone sat roughly 52% below the October 2025 peak of $126,272. Price has since recovered toward $70,000.
KOSPI fell 6.07% to 6,690 and Nikkei 225 dropped 1,811 points to 64,611, leading a broad Asian selloff. Taiwan Weighted lost 2.74%, Shanghai slipped 1.64%. Europe closed firm, DAX up 1.34%, FTSE up 0.90%. US ended mixed. GIFT Nifty traded 65 points lower at 23,763 in early Friday session.
Gold is trading near 4,030 dollars after easing from 4,070, absorbing a sharp two-session decline as oil surges and US rate expectations firm up. Price remains above the 4,000 mark with volatility contracting. Sellers pushed, the level held. The chart is quiet. Quiet is data too.
Bitcoin is holding near 64,100 dollars after a full week pinned inside the 64,000 to 66,000 range. Volumes are shrinking on both sides, ETF flows remain soft, and neither bulls nor bears are pressing. Range tight, participation thin. The tape has gone quiet at a decision zone.
XAUUSD closed the week near 4,050 and stays shut until Monday. PAXG, backed by one fine troy ounce of vaulted gold, kept printing near 4,040 through Saturday. Same metal behind both. Two different clocks. Weekend price discovery moves on chain while the spot desk sleeps. Only the wrapper changes.
Vietnam has notified Decree 284/2026/ND-CP, effective 1 September 2026, setting fines for use of unapproved crypto platforms and larger penalties for unlicensed service providers. Rules cover KYC, reporting, token issuance and account data, ahead of a pilot for licensed domestic exchanges.
NSE has notified suspension of trading in Tata Capital Limited's privately placed non-convertible securities (Instrument: Debt/NCD, ISIN INE306N08193) from 27-Jan-2026, citing redemption. Action under Regulation 3.1.2, NSE Debt Market Regulations. Source: NSE Circular NSE/CML/75378, July 24, 2026.
